Course Documents -> Week 6 -> Population Growth Spreadsheet
Download the spreadsheet
Here there are 4 variants of a world population model.
- Constant growth at 1.25% per year (this is only here
as a fiducial)
- Continuously exponentially declining population (probably
unrealistic
- Modified: Population continually declines until some threshold growth rate/fertility rate is reached and then it
starts to rise again, continuously exponentially at the new
constant rate which is the threshold.
- Oscillatory: complicated but perhaps the most realistic;
Like the modified, starts to rise again but then has a correction
to mimic the decline. Also has a lag time parameter adjustment
to account for response time to dwindling population. The effective growth rate for the oscillatory model is in Column L